(TMA International Headquarters)
The
historic restructuring of the U.S. auto industry is reallocating human capital.
As Adam Smith’s invisible hand works its magic, displaced engineers and
executives will create tremendous value in other sectors of the economy. How
will they do it? Here are five process improvement tools and methods that are
scalable to a middle market turnaround engagement or private equity
investment:
- Theory of Constraints (TOC) (systemic problem solving
to avoid the local sub-optimization trap)
- Industrial engineering and lean thinking (basic
blocking and tackling to reduce the seven wastes)
- Value Stream Mapping (VSM) (visualizing the seven
wastes)
- Manufacturing/business process simulations
(predicting future operational and financial results in multi-product
/multi-process environments)
- Enterprise profit models (systems thinking game changers)
An understanding of when to apply these methods should be of interest to
all turnaround management professionals and private equity executives. After
all, everyone wins when innovative solutions are found to increase cash flow,
reduce working capital requirements, and mitigate
risk.
In the 10-machine manufacturing process illustrated
in Figure 1,
each machine had a team of manufacturing engineers managing its design and
development. All 10 teams hit their performance target: 50 units per hour and 98
percent availability. A separate team of plant engineers developed the plant
layout. Their objective was to develop a lean layout minimizing work-in-process
inventory. By carefully arranging the 10 machines, they achieved perfect
one-piece flow.
Before the new manufacturing process went into production, the teams
briefed senior management on the status of the project. All involved had met or
exceeded their objectives. Waste had been minimized. All the lean metrics looked
great. Optimism for a successful launch was very high, and why
not?
When the new manufacturing process was launched, production was only 42
units per hour and not the 49 units per hour that was expected. If all of those
involved met or exceeded their objectives, what went
wrong?
The interactions between the machines were not considered. When Machine 6
is down, Machines 1 through 5 are immediately blocked and Machines 7 through 10
are immediately starved. In isolation, each machine could produce 49 units per
hour. In combination, they could not.
This manufacturing puzzle can be solved by inspection. But when one
replaces the 10 machines with functional organizations, such as marketing,
sales, scheduling, purchasing, manufacturing, distribution, and customer
support, no longer are interactions (blocks and starves) quite so easily
observed. In fact, the performance of the enterprise likely is being
sub-optimized as the functions work hard to improve their local metrics.
And that’s the opportunity. First, one should think of business functions
as part of a larger enterprise system and then apply these five continuous
improvement methods to improve operational performance; increase earnings before
interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA); and create
value.
Theory of Constraints
TOC is
a proven process to solve the “10-machine” local optimization paradox. It views
an organization as a chain of dependent activities or functions all working
toward a goal. The constraint is the weakest link in the chain, one that most
severely limits an organization’s ability to achieve higher performance relative
to goal. In business, that goal is usually to make more money now and in the
future.
Eliyahu Goldratt outlined the following process to improve organizational
performance in his first book on TOC,
The
Goal
:
- Step 0: Define the system. In this context, the
system includes both the goal and the activities and functions that deliver
the goal: Who and what contributes to EBITDA?
- Step 1: Identify the system’s constraint. Finding the
constraint in a large, complex organization can be a challenge. A simple rule
of thumb is: If a link in the chain is blocked, then the constraint is
downstream. If a link is starved, then the constraint is upstream.
- Step 2: Decide how to exploit the constraint. How can
one get the most out of the constraint? Approve overtime? Reduce setup times?
Improve scheduling? Increase incoming inspection?
- Step 3: Subordinate everything else to the decisions
made in Step 2. What can non-constraints do to ensure that the constraint is
as productive as possible? Cross-train people? Improve quality? Take lunch and
breaks at different times?
- Step 4: Elevate the system’s constraint. Add capacity
if and only if the constraint’s performance truly has been maximized.
- Step 5: If a constraint is broken in Step 4, go back to Step 1. Repeat the
process on the next constraint until the organization’s goal has been met. If
the goal is open-ended, such as increasing EBITDA, then this process never
ends.
Industrial Engineering, Lean
Thinking
Once
the constraint is identified, lean principles can be applied to increase
throughput at the constraint and reduce operating costs at non-constraints. Lean
thinking is a management philosophy focused on the reduction of the seven
wastes:
-
Overproduction (making more than customer
demand)
-
Motion (human or machine)
-
Waiting (human or machine)
-
Conveyance (movement from one location to
another)
-
Over-processing (making features not valued by the
customer)
-
Inventory (raw materials or finished
goods)
-
Correction (scrap and
rework)
The principles of lean manufacturing started with Henry Ford and were
refined into what is known today as the Toyota Production System (TPS). When a
delegation from Toyota visited the United States after World War II, they
concluded that mass production was not suitable in post-war Japan. They were,
however, inspired by a supermarket’s simple but elegant process for restocking
shelves.
TPS is a process-driven, long-term philosophy of continuous improvement
and waste reduction. It is based on a “pull” system to avoid overproduction and
minimize inventories, a culture of getting quality right the first time,
standardized work, and visual control.
Lean thinking is not just for automobiles. Many costs are assigned when a
product is designed. Companies now apply lean thinking to reduce waste in
product development, including standardized parts, modular components, and
design review checklists.
Both manufacturers and service providers incur significant wastes as
material moves into, through, and out of their operations. Applying lean
thinking up front to packaging design, container density, and material flow can
reduce material handling costs.
Lean principles are being applied in service industries such as
healthcare. Some of the benefits include shorter patient waiting times,
increased utilization of critical resources (beds, operating rooms, testing
machines), reduced medical and billing errors, and more effective discharge
planning.
Value Stream Mapping
VSM is a method to illustrate
the seven wastes and to identify their sources. VSM provides a comprehensive
view of all actions—value-added and non-value-added—required to bring a product
or service to a customer. A VSM (Figure 2)
includes product flows (across the bottom) as well as information flows (across
the top). In addition to illustrating process logic, a VSM organizes key data
for each process step, such as cycle times, changeover times, lot sizes,
uptimes, scrap rates, inventory levels, inventory delays, transport times, and
shipping frequencies.

A VSM is a good first step in thinking systemically. Taking a value
stream perspective ensures working on the big picture and therefore avoids the
“10-machine” local optimization paradox. VSMs are equally valid for
manufacturing, service, and administrative processes. Once a current state VSM
is completed, it provides managers and employees an effective tool to find
constraints and discuss alternative actions to reduce
waste.
Software programs have been developed to facilitate the development of
value stream maps. While nice to have, they are not essential. VSMs on brown
paper covered with sticky notes are just as
valid.
Process Simulation
While
a VSM is a good first step in thinking systemically, the method has one
significant limitation: it provides a static snapshot, not a moving picture.
A simulation provides a dynamic view of the value stream as well as the
ability to run “what-if” experiments to predict future operational and financial
results. As such, simulation is a very powerful and versatile tool to maximize
investment efficiency and mitigate risk in both manufacturing and business
processes.
Discrete event simulations (Figure
3)
are built by connecting
modeling elements such as machines, conveyors, buffers, parts, and people in the
process flow logic. Next the performance of each element is described with
variables, such as cycle times, downtimes, changeover times, conveyor
min/max/floats, buffer sizes, and shift hours. By happy coincidence, most of the
data required to build a discrete event simulation already has been organized on
the VSM.

Uncertainty in any performance variable can be captured by fitting a
probability distribution around a mean value. By using a different random number
stream for each probability distribution, the events in the model are
independent of each other, just as in the real world. At the end of a run, the
simulation software collates the results and generates reports. What-if
experiments are easily performed by making changes to the input data set,
rerunning the model, and then comparing the
results.
Many manufacturing and business processes share
resources in complex ways (Figure 4).
In such cases, finite capacity simulations can create
multi-product, multi-process production schedules for improved customer service,
reduced inventories, and better utilization of resources. Finite capacity
simulations are equally applicable to manufacturing and service organizations
and can be interfaced with shop floor and human resource systems. Finite
capacity simulations have similar dynamic what-if capabilities. What if a
shipment of parts is running late? What if a machine is down for the day?

For more than two decades, discrete event simulations and finite capacity
simulations have proven equally adept in finding constraints and testing
strategies to break them through the Goldratt five-step
process.
Enterprise Profit
Models
At the top of the ladder are
enterprise profit models (Figure 5).
As their name suggests, enterprise
profit models cross organizational chimneys, integrate manufacturing and
business processes, and focus on a company’s financial objectives: profits, cash
flow, return on net assets, etc.

Enterprise profit models incorporate both micro- and macroeconomic
factors: price elasticities, fixed/variable cost structures, supply chain
logistics, and capacities/staffing, as well as aggregate demand, tax policies,
exchange rates, and tariffs. A modular model architecture is typically used.
Enterprise profit models are too big in scope and in diversity for a single
simulation methodology.
Typical problems addressed by enterprise profit models include
order-to-cash, build-to-order, and product portfolio/plant footprint
optimizations. Constraint-based continuous improvement methods still apply but
on a much larger scale.
Enterprise models require the close collaboration of senior business
leaders across functional chimneys. To optimize enterprise performance,
non-constraints must subordinate themselves to the constraint. Not all
functional chimneys can maximize or minimize all of their local performance
metrics.
Case Studies
Once
the constraint is identified through TOC, some combination of the remaining four
tools can be used to improve operational and financial performance. Here are
three representative case studies:
Furniture Factory.
The
upholstery area was identified as the constraint in a furniture factory. A team
of industrial engineers developed a VSM. A rearrangement of the upholstery cells
was proposed to reduce waiting losses. A discrete event simulation model was
developed to verify the proposed changes. Next, a finite capacity scheduling
model was developed that reduced setups while still meeting delivery lead times.
Combined, the rearrangement of the upholstery area and resequencing of fabric
types doubled throughput and reduced headcount by one
operator.
Medical Center.
A medical
center needed to determine the minimum number of operating rooms to equip and
staff. Patients arrived in the system each day and were classified as emergency
or elective and as cardiology or non-cardiology. Emergency patients
automatically were treated on the day they were generated, and elective patients
were selected for treatment if there was time available in the operating room
before the end of the shift. Cardiology operating rooms could service either
cardiology or non-cardiology patients, although cardiology patients had
priority.
A discrete event simulation model was developed to study operating room
capacity alternatives. The model predicted overtime, operating room utilization,
patient throughput, and patient waiting time. By optimizing the number of
cardiology and general operating rooms, the medical center delayed buying costly
equipment and hiring staff until the level of patient demand required
it.
Durable Goods Manufacturer.
A consumer durable goods manufacturer
had a good problem on its hands: its new plant in Brazil had many more orders
for a hot new product than it could make. An enterprise model of the South
American order-to-cash process was developed. Cross-functional teams quickly
discovered that minimum market allocations were limiting profits—a policy
constraint (Figure 6).

A fact-based method was developed to estimate minimum
dealer survival volumes across export markets. This freed up capacity that could
be allocated more profitably based on such factors as margins, exchange
rates, shipping costs, and tariffs. Next, targeted investments were identified in the
plant to better align product mix with customer demand—a physical constraint. When the
Brazilian real (R$) appreciated in relation to other South American currencies,
exports were reduced in favor of the nation’s domestic market. Thanks in part to
the order-to-cash enterprise profit model, quarterly profits increased by $126
million from the previous year.